November 2, 2025

Industrial Intelligence Solutions With Causal AI

After nine months of building sophisticated predictive maintenance algorithms using synthetic data and deep learning, their system detected a problem on a client's machine. So did the customer's technicians. But none of them could diagnose the root cause.

Then Matteo walked in, the senior expert everyone calls when things go wrong. He touched the machine, moved it slightly with his hand, and in five seconds declared: "The machine isn't level on the ground." He left. Problem solved.

This moment changed everything for Daniel Gamba, CEO of AI.Send, and it should reshape how we think about industrial AI. The question isn't just how to build smarter algorithms, it's how to build algorithms that think like Matteo.


Why Traditional Deep Learning Hits a Wall in Industrial Production

Deep learning has transformed everything from language translation to image recognition. But in manufacturing, there are critical limitations that leaders like you face daily.

The core issue: correlation isn't causation. When your algorithm observes that police presence and crime rates are correlated in your data, it can't determine whether police cause crime or crime causes more police presence. Without understanding causal relationships, the algorithm can only spot patterns—not explain why they happen or what to do about them.

This creates three major problems in production environments:

  • Lack of explainability: Operators won't trust recommendations they can't understand, especially when wrong suggestions could cost millions
  • Vulnerability to confounders: Hidden variables distort your data in ways traditional models can't detect (imagine operators who always adjust settings for one supplier because they believe that supplier's materials are harder, even when there's no actual difference)
  • Data dependence: You need massive amounts of labeled data before the model becomes useful, and in manufacturing, the most critical problems are often rare events

The Core Insight: Digitize Reasoning, Not Just Data

Here's the breakthrough: instead of only feeding algorithms historical data, you also give them the causal structure of how your process actually works. You're digitizing not just what happened, but how your experts think about what happened.

This is what causal AI does differently. You create a graph where experts map out cause-and-effect relationships: "Black spots on bottles can come from material issues or machine performance problems. Material issues are more often related to using recycled HDPE. Machine performance connects to temperature settings, filter conditions, and whether the machine just started up."

The algorithm learns this reasoning structure from experts first, then uses data to refine the probabilities. Even without any production data, you have a working system that thinks like your best technician.

For a large furniture manufacturer, this approach cut downtime by 66%. The platform asks operators the right diagnostic questions based on expert knowledge, gets their answers, cross-references sensor data from PLCs, and identifies root causes in one-third the time. Over a year, that's millions in savings—just from asking better questions.

Why This Matters for Your Data Strategy Now

If you're leading data and analytics at an enterprise manufacturer, you face constant pressure to show ROI from AI investments while managing operational risk. Causal AI addresses both.

For your value delivery: Traditional approaches require months of data collection before you can deploy anything. With causal AI, you're in production in 3-6 months because you start with expert knowledge. You don't wait for the next machine failure—you capture what experts already know about past failures.

For your risk management: In steel production or pharmaceutical manufacturing, a wrong AI recommendation can cause millions in damage. Causal AI is deterministic within its mapped knowledge. If a problem isn't in the graph, the system won't suggest anything—it won't hallucinate solutions like generative AI might. This makes it far more acceptable in regulated industries.

For your data governance: Expert knowledge is an asset. One customer told AI.Send they lose 20-30% of production performance when their key technician is absent. That expertise is worth more than the machinery itself, yet most companies don't treat it that way. Causal AI creates a framework for capturing and preserving that knowledge systematically.

The Implementation Reality: Culture Trumps Technology

The technology works. But implementation success depends entirely on organizational culture, and this is where data leaders often stumble.

You need three things in place:

  • Knowledge managers: People responsible for continuously updating the causal graphs as new problems emerge and new solutions are discovered
  • Operator engagement: If operators don't use the system, they won't generate data. Without data, you can't refine probabilities. The system stagnates. You need a feedback loop where operators get immediate value from the platform so they keep using it
  • Executive recognition: Leadership must understand that expert knowledge is a quantifiable asset, not just institutional memory

The hardest part isn't technical—it's cultural. You're not just digitizing processes or collecting KPIs. You're digitizing human reasoning, and that requires companies to acknowledge that the expertise in their workers' minds may be worth 20% of turnover.

Practical Starting Points for Your Organization

If you're considering causal AI, start with one production line facing recurring process problems—think black spots on bottles, bubbles in injection molding, or setup issues after changeovers. Map the top 20-30 problems with your experts. Build causal graphs for those problems. Deploy on that one line. Measure downtime reduction and quality improvements.

The beauty of this approach: it scales horizontally. Once you've proven it on one line, replicating across 150 lines becomes a straightforward deployment decision. You're not retraining models—you're applying the same reasoning structure with line-specific adaptations.

For data integration, be pragmatic. Causal AI works with whatever data infrastructure you have because it starts with knowledge, not data. Partner with your existing IoT and data collection teams. The platform needs sensor data, PLC readings, and recipe parameters, but it doesn't require perfect data lakes to deliver value.

The Bottom Line

We're at a turning point in manufacturing AI. The future isn't fully autonomous factories—it's more like cruise control for production. The system maintains your line, keeps your distance from problems, and handles routine decisions. But experts stay in the driver's seat for exceptions and strategy.

Causal AI is how you get there. It bridges the gap between the raw power of machine learning and the irreplaceable judgment of experienced technicians. It makes AI explainable, trustworthy, and safe enough for production floors where mistakes cost millions.

The companies that start experimenting now—capturing expert knowledge, building causal graphs, and creating those feedback loops—will have a five-year head start on competitors who wait. In manufacturing, five years of compounding learning effects is an almost insurmountable advantage.

The question isn't whether your industry will adopt this approach. It's whether you'll be leading the transformation or catching up to it.

Kudzai Manditereza

Founder & Educator - Industry40.tv

Kudzai Manditereza is an Industry4.0 technology evangelist and creator of Industry40.tv, an independent media and education platform focused on industrial data and AI for smart manufacturing. He specializes in Industrial AI, IIoT, Unified Namespace, Digital Twins, and Industrial DataOps, helping digital manufacturing leaders implement and scale AI initiatives.

Kudzai hosts the AI in Manufacturing podcast and writes the Smart Factory Playbook newsletter, where he shares practical guidance on building the data backbone that makes industrial AI work in real-world manufacturing environments. He currently serves as Senior Industry Solutions Advocate at HiveMQ.